Economics and the mid-life crisis have much in common: Both dwell on foregone opportunities

C'est la vie; c'est la guerre; c'est la pomme de terre . . . . . . . . . . . . . email: jpalmer at uwo dot ca

. . . . . . . . . . .Richard Posner should be awarded the next Nobel Prize in Economics . . . . . . . . . . . .

Thursday, December 22, 2005

Might Israel Try to Destroy Iran's Nuclear Weapon Capability?

With the recent hostile speeches by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Israel must take a very cautious stance. On the one hand, he sounds like someone who might very gladly use nuclear weapons against Israel just to get rid of the Jews, in which case a pre-emptive strike is called for. On the other hand, he might be attempting to provoke an attack by Israel, with the hope of cementing other Muslim support against Israel.

Stratfor has an interesting take on how Israel might attack Iran, should they decide to do so. [subscription req'd; h/t to JP]
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's latest inflammatory statements, in which he called the Holocaust a "myth" and suggested that Israel's Jews be relocated to Europe or even Alaska, are part of a series of provocations that have severely escalated political tensions between Iran and Israel. Furthermore, Israeli military officials have said that Iran is within months of being able to produce nuclear weapons. Because of its extreme vulnerability to a nuclear attack, Israel's threshold for using the military option to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear capability is lower than the United States'. Should Israel decide to attack Iran's nuclear facilities, the operation would be risky, difficult and politically delicate -- but not impossible.
The major problem would be forming the political alliances that would free up some air space for the IDF to fly through.

Then again, consider this by C. Hart of WorldNewsDaily:
Most media attention has focused on when Iran might have nuclear capability and if Israel should act against Iran independently. Little attention has been paid to the possibility of an Iranian pre-emptive strike against Israel, despite the fact that this remains a major concern of Israel's military advisers.
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